US Election Day 2020

Innula Zenovka

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The Democratic nominee’s electoral vote count now stands at 264, leaving him just six votes short of winning the presidency.

If Biden can maintain his lead in Nevada, he will hit 270 exactly, defeating Trump and becoming the 46th president of the United States.

Shortly after speaking in Wilmington this afternoon, Biden also expressed confidence about his chances of winning Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes, as the counting continues there.
 

Veritable Quandry

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Any uncalled state to Biden works. We'll need to see how many votes Nevada reports out tonight to see if it is clear who will win.
 

Dakota Tebaldi

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ASSUMING that the AP and Fox News did not jump the gun calling Arizona for Biden. CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, and NYT are all still shy about Arizona.
 

Jolene Benoir

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Oh, and Pamela? I'm going to tell you what I've been telling my somewhat dispirited Texas relatives. You should be proud! You came within a few points, despite all sorts of election fuckery. You tried your damndest.

Don't let failure this time dissuade you from future endeavors. Hang in there.
 

danielravennest

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I've got one serious complaint and its not a new one - but how in the everliving fuck can they declare a state with less than 1% reported for anyone and then states that are almost all in, in theory, not be declared - and how in the everliving fuck can each network have different results.
Take California, which is currently 65% Biden, 33% Trump. When a state is typically that lopsided, all they need is a few precincts to report. That's to verify those precincts are following the usual voting pattern, and not something different. On that basis they can call a state, the same way a political poll can reasonably predict an election. But when the margin is that large, the sample error can also be large and still be right.

The other piece of data they had for California, which only some states provide, is mail ballot returns by party. In their case it was 6.15 million D, 2.95 million R. That's more than half of the ~16 million total votes they expect in the state. California mails ballots to every registered voter, although they can still choose to vote in person. So even if the election night precinct reports had just started, they already know which way 55% of the voters are going.
 

Jolene Benoir

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Send him over to NL to replace the fool eh ambassador we have now. We can handle that.
I wouldn't call the Netherlands nowhere and I wouldn't wish that upon you. I was thinking, um...Greenland? Antarctica? Somewhere in Mongolia?
 

danielravennest

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I suspect some of those vote machines were indeed connected to the internet, and were hacked just enough to change vote Totals.
I saw an unconfirmed story that 300,000 mail ballots were scanned into the postal system, but never scanned out. I find that totally believable given DeJoy's earlier actions to kneecap the system. If proven, he's going to jail.