US Election Day 2020

Kara Spengler

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They will need everyone's help to retweet when they file these extensions.

I don't understand -- if I tell you that, with a 6-sided die, you have a one in three chance of rolling < 3, and you take the die a roll a 1 or a 2, then what do you conclude from that?
He was not correcting people when they misread his numbers.
 

Pamela

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I am both incredulous and angry. The Trump Cult is white supremacist. The cult believes white people are superior to anyone not white. So I understand the attraction for white people, though not that a whopping 60% of whites are believers. Even more unfathomable is the fact that considerable percentages of the same people white supremacists look down on, join with them.
 
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Dakota Tebaldi

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"A source", so yeah whatever; but still, I can totally see that

There is a tiny bit of truth there though, in that the Arizona call isn't as strong as most of them. Still quite likely but not "there's literally not enough votes left to overtake the leader" likely.
 

Jolene Benoir

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I am both incredulous and angry. The Trump Cult is white supremacist. The cult believes white people are superior to anyone not white. So I understand the attraction for white people, though not that a whopping 60% of whites are believers. Even more unfathomable is the fact that considerable percentages of the same people white supremacists looks down on, join with them.
Be careful about assuming anything about people of color votes or anybody actually, because a lot of voices weren't heard because they voted by mail.

ETA: I just realized that applies to early voters too. Nobody was taking exit polls then, either, except maybe a few very important locations?
 
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Innula Zenovka

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He was not correcting people when they misread his numbers.
At the time, everyone was complaining he was putting Trump's chances too high -- his prediction was that HRC would probably win the popular vote, which she did, but that Trump had about a 1 in 3 chance of winning the electoral college -- the NYT gave him about 1 in 10.

Here's what he said the day the election in 2016


and here's his post-election analysis

 

Tiffy Vella

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I've been too scared to watch what's happening over there, and too scared to hope. Wishing you all the best from here in Aus. This has been making me feel quite ill, as it affects us all. About to do the school run, and will check back in later if the nerves can hold up.
 

Pamela

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Be careful about assuming anything about people of color votes or anybody actually, because a lot of voices weren't heard because they voted by mail.
i Think it more likely that there are some people of all colors who vote entirely based on “what’s in it for me”.

Actually, I have a home, plenty of food, health insurance, white skin, and am invested in the stock market. So Trump doesn’t really present much threat to me. But what about the caged children? What about the massacre in El Paso? What about the raging pandemic on the border and everywhere else? Or Climate change?
 

Dakota Tebaldi

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Oh, well that's right neighborly of you.

 

Aribeth Zelin

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Considering that according to Politico, Twitler must win all four states still in play, but Biden only needs any -one- and Nevada's 6 EC would do it, I can see it.

Besides, it would make the state more important than Vegas, at least for a little bit, if its their votes that do it.

as near as I can tell Ga, NC, Nevada and Pennsylvania are al that stands between this nightmare continuing or maybe ending, or at least getting less worse.
 

Eunoli

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I think this thread is a good example of why we (liberal-ish type folks) don't really understand what's going on with Trump or the threat he poses. We think good people will stand up to him because we know what he is and who he supports.

The thing is, a huge portion of America doesn't know that. They get their news from Fox. They get their news from Facebook. They listen day after day to "pundits" talking about how fair and open Trump is. They listen to these same talking heads talk about how "good is he for the black community". They don't know about the white supremacists or think its fake news. They have been told by people they trust all along that the criminal investigations are just political harassment. They thought there were actual literal caravans of Mexicans coming because "trusted sources" told them there were and they don't question. Many of these people were never taught critical thinking and were instead indoctrinated in a culture where obeying religious and authority figures is all important.

Yes, we have huge issues with race and with bigotry of all kinds. Also, yes - people are basically good. But, huge portions of the populace don't see past the shiny things they are shown by the people they /want/ to be good and strong for them. We've got a lot of work to do, not just healing - but teaching each other to question in ways that aren't so divisive that we start thinking in tribes instead of thinking as humans.

In my opinion this year's election was inevitable when Republicans and Megacorps wanting a sheeplike populace to allow them to continue to grow richer and richer started crushing the education systems in "red states". First, you need people who won't question you, even as you work to make their lives worse. Then, you can do what you want to them. We have to fix so many things - but we really need to focus on education and the next generations.
 

Katheryne Helendale

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Just a clarification. If someone said "Vote Democrat" down the line, it was probably because that is essential if you want to have your President actually be able to accomplish anything.
This!

The way it looks right now, if Biden wins, he will have a GOP-majority Senate led by Turtle McTurtleface stonewalling his every move, severely limiting his ability to undo all the damage Trump has done, let alone actually advancing forward.
 

Jolene Benoir

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This!

The way it looks right now, if Biden wins, he will have a GOP-majority Senate led by Turtle McTurtleface stonewalling his every move, severely limiting his ability to undo all the damage Trump has done, let alone actually advancing forward.
Agree, but he CAN still make some very important policy changes as well as ridding the cabinet posts of the stench of Trump.

DHS alone should take a hard u-turn.
 

Dakota Tebaldi

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