It's not so much about how I feel about him personally as it is about me being afraid he'd be fairly easy for the opposition to cut down. So I guess I'm in the "not as electable as people think he is" camp with Biden.
], because I'm an independent. I'm also an independent because I find the Dems too corporate/right for what we need.
I half agree with you. The left isn't the constituency that we most need to appease. But I disagree that Biden is the best candidate to woo the center. The more he talks, the more he'll shoot himself in the foot. I think the undecided voters will be more attracted to someone more charismatic, or someone who shows more interesting ideas other than "I'm not Trump but just as old!"
Biden has name recognition, and that might be enough for him to win the primaries. But I don't think he has what it's going to take to beat Trump. Not with all the resources the GOP is throwing at keeping him in office. We need a candidate who can not only win the primary, but who can also raise mass awareness of the issues and why they are so important today, and can handily beat Trump.
I'm literally living paycheck-to-paycheck, and am in no financial position to donate to anyone. But if I could, I'd support both Warren and Harris. I can't decide between either of them.
As I said, I have no idea — and no opinion about — who will poll best against Trump when the time comes. I just know what the polls say now.
Oh I am pretty sure MOST Democrats will vote for the nominee. Note I did not say all. Some purists will either not vote or vote third party.
It's worse than that.
You don’t have to figure anything out. There should be plenty of enlightening polls that will make it clear, unless there is a statistical tie at the top. It’s just a matter at that point of whether you want to make a statement or you want to win.
Funny thing about polls: The last time we relied on polls, Hillary lost the presidency. Polls can also be loaded, so it's not wise to rely too much on them to make your decision.
Aren't polls are the primary source of data about voting preferences that we have? Is there some other more reliable source of data?
But my question is what other data source besides polls would you recommend relying on? Everything you mention — charisma, personality etc. — May inform your own preference, but it tells you nothing about how independents intend to vote, and how independents vote will determine the election. That depends on a data source of some kind.
For a great many of us, beating Trump is everything. It doesn’t matter a candidate’s policies or personality if he can’t beat Trump.
Unfortunately there really aren't any other data sources readily available. I'm just saying raw poll data cannot be treated as gospel. That's too dangerous, especially today. There's a lot to consider when parsing poll data.
