The Trump Presidency, Season 2

Innula Zenovka

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Lengthy but interesting piece by a leading British expert on diplomacy and international relations.
 

Cindy Claveau

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Prosecutors already have dropped nearly a dozen cases from Trump’s DC crime surge, judge says

More than 50 people have faced federal charges in Washington, D.C., since President Donald Trump’s emergency law-and-order surge began last month. Already, prosecutors have dropped at least 11 of those cases, an unusually high collapse rate that judges say is wasting court resources.

The dismissals highlight the risks of Trump’s emergency surge strategy: an unprecedented flood of arrests that has produced headline-grabbing numbers but faltered under judicial scrutiny, with some of the most serious cases — from assaults on federal agents to gun charges — unraveling before they ever reach trial.
 

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Evernote Link

Lengthy but interesting piece by a leading British expert on diplomacy and international relations.
How much longer will Trump matter to the UK because the United States matters to the UK do you think?
 
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Innula Zenovka

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How much longer will Trump matter to the UK because the United States matters to the UK do you think?
Trump, I am sure, has persuaded not just the UK but all of the US' traditional allies and partners in NATO, Five Eyes, the EU and so on that the US can no longer be trusted as a reliable defence or trading partner, and that we consequently need to revise the fundamental assumptions underpinning all our post WW2 defence, foreign and trade policies as soon as possible. That's going to take time to implement and, in the meantime, our existing relationships with the US are what they are, so we have no choice but to try to keep Trump onside.

However, as Laurence Freedman says at the end of the article
The United States remains a country of extraordinary power. It has significant advantages in its energy, agriculture and technology, in the vibrancy of its economy and the international role of its currency, and in its range of military capabilities. In all these respects it is a very serious country, one with which others naturally wish to be associated and have productive relations. But it is led by an unserious man. The question is how much unseriousness at the top can a serious country take?
So, in answer to your question. while it certainly makes sense for Britain and other countries to recalibrate our relationships with the US, we will want to to remain on as good terms as possible, because that's in best our interests. However, that's going to take time, so we have little choice but to try to keep Trump happy in the hope of keeping him onside as much as possible.

When there's a new president, we'll all want to maintain good relations with him, too, which may be more or less challenging than is keeping Trump happy. We'll just have to wait and see.
 

GoblinCampFollower

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Trump, I am sure, has persuaded not just the UK but all of the US' traditional allies and partners in NATO, Five Eyes, the EU and so on that the US can no longer be trusted as a reliable defence or trading partner, and that we consequently need to revise the fundamental assumptions underpinning all our post WW2 defence, foreign and trade policies as soon as possible. That's going to take time to implement and, in the meantime, our existing relationships with the US are what they are, so we have no choice but to try to keep Trump onside.

However, as Laurence Freedman says at the end of the article


So, in answer to your question. while it certainly makes sense for Britain and other countries to recalibrate our relationships with the US, we will want to to remain on as good terms as possible, because that's in best our interests. However, that's going to take time, so we have little choice but to try to keep Trump happy in the hope of keeping him onside as much as possible.

When there's a new president, we'll all want to maintain good relations with him, too, which may be more or less challenging than is keeping Trump happy. We'll just have to wait and see.
Agreed. I don't think there is much chance the USA will become irrelevant as a market or military power in the near future. We're still the largest economy in the world by a good margin. We are just a lot less reliable as an ally.
 

Innula Zenovka

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Agreed. I don't think there is much chance the USA will become irrelevant as a market or military power in the near future. We're still the largest economy in the world by a good margin. We are just a lot less reliable as an ally.
In the long term this will be bad news for US manufacturers of military equipment, because if we can't rely on the US as a military partner, it makes sense not to rely on the US to sell us new materiel when we need to resupply (this is already a problem for some countries that have donated equipment to Ukraine and need to replace it). Cindy's infographic above gives an example of this.

It's certainly an impending issue in the UK, because our independent nuclear deterrent uses British nuclear warheads delivered by UGM-133 Trident II missiles, made by Lockheed in California. It's badly in need of updating, and it's now highly unlikely we'll source the next generation of missiles from the US. Nothing's decided but it's most likely to be an Anglo-French joint venture.
 
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Innula Zenovka

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Rose Karuna

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Love the UK press for this!


Bet it never runs in the US.
 

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Bet it never runs in the US.
I was going to say it's something PBS might be able to rebroadcast, but... :ashamed:
 

Innula Zenovka

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Apparently during the Trump-Starmer joint press conference today, the US reporters all stood up and applauded both when the two men entered the room and again when they left. Their British counterparts remained seated and didn't applaud.

Is the US reporters' behaviour typical, or does it reflect the nature of the journalists who were allowed to accompany Trump?