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- Sep 20, 2018
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The ERG was influential only because the government depended on them for its majority from 2017--2019.Well even if BoJo is not any longer, the Tories still have two major problems:
a) the ERG with its heavy influence
b) the new wave of nationalism in the UK right now.
I don't doubt that Mr. Sunak is a serious, intelligent man. What I do doubt it the UK's readyness for a prime minister with Indian heritage though, and especially the Tories, so Gove is for me the more likely Tory outcome right now.
That's the only reason anyone had to listen to them and the DUP -- it was an identical situation to that of John Major when he was trying to get the Maastricht Treaty ratified in the 1990s, and he had to try to win over a bunch of crackpots whose influence was out of all proportion to their ability.
Now Johnson has a large majority, he doesn't need them any more.
I really don't think Sunak's background is going to be a problem, any more than was Michael Howard's being Jewish an issue when he led the party in 2003--2005, though back in the 1980s that was certainly a reason why so many Tory MPs disliked Margaret Thatcher's then Home Secretary, Leon Brittan.
The Tories are still racists, but they're a lot more selective in their racism than they used to be.
Time will tell, and we'll have to see how Sunak looks in six months' time, but I can him as PM far more easily than I can see Gove, since Gove is just so untrustworthy and too much implicated in Brexit.














