The US-Iran War Has Begun

Noodles

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Was Trump so much less susceptible to flattery, or more intelligent, from 2016--2020, or all last year?
This is conspiracy theory territory, but my theory.

The first term was basically just Trump enriching himself and his family, and a little bit of "fuck you racism" towards the "evil brown man who made fun of him" aka Obama.

But the spotlight of all that put him in a serious position of dying in jail. So he made a deal with the devils that are the Project 2025 religeous zealots and the Techno Libertarian Assholes. He was electable. If they run him, he gets in office, theykeep him out of jail, he pushes their agenda.

This is also some what supported because, frankly, this term's agenda has been much different than the first. And his family is almost nowhere to be seen this round.
 

Noodles

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We need Israel to get into a war with their neighbors so God will clear them all out and Supply Side Jesus can return.
Yeah, its all religeous extremism centered around the Rapture. Something about Jews returning to Israel or some shit I don't know the details, its all very nutty.
 
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Khamon

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Yeah, its all religeous extremism centered around the Rapture. Something about Jews returning to Israel or some shit I don't know the details, its all very nutty.
The elevator version is that Jesus will return in the clouds to rapture living Christians and raise dead ones who will all go to Paradise. The living "left behind" will endure seven years of "tribulation" during which the Antichrist will unite the Middle East and rebuild the Jewish temple in Jerusalem prompting a world war against Israel. Christ will return again to defeat the world and establish a thousand year (Millennial) kingdom on Earth. It's based on prophesies in the book of Revelation but there are, of course, multiple interpretations of what happens when to whom et al.

Church people dog the Israelites mercilessly for misinterpreting Old Testament scriptures concerning the Messiah but insist that we can know exactly what the remaining prophesies foretell without question.
 

Noodles

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The elevator version is that Jesus will return in the clouds to rapture living Christians and raise dead ones who will all go to Paradise. The living "left behind" will endure seven years of "tribulation" during which the Antichrist will unite the Middle East and rebuild the Jewish temple in Jerusalem prompting a world war against Israel. Christ will return again to defeat the world and establish a thousand year (Millennial) kingdom on Earth. It's based on prophesies in the book of Revelation but there are, of course, multiple interpretations of what happens when to whom et al.

Church people dog the Israelites mercilessly for misinterpreting Old Testament scriptures concerning the Messiah but insist that we can know exactly what the remaining prophesies foretell without question.
Which volcano do I have to throw a Bible in to stop all this reckless evil madness? I am willing to take this quest. Maybe some others could tag along if they want.
 

Innula Zenovka

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British Airways has cancelled more flights to the Middle East.

BA said flights to Amman, Bahrain, Doha, Dubai, Tel Aviv have been cancelled up to and including 28 March.

Abu Dhabi will not restart until October, as this is only a winter route for BA.

The airline said the update was to give more certainty to passengers.

BA still has two more repatriation flights from Oman to the UK this week, with tickets still on sale. The airline continues to operate a reduced service to Larnaca, Cyprus.
Oh... just seen this:

On March 8th, Fox News host Maria Bartiromo asked White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt directly about mothers fearing their children would be drafted as American airstrikes continued against Iran. Leavitt’s answer lasted four seconds and foreclosed nothing. “President Trump wisely does not remove options off of the table.”

ETA: Also this, from Reuters: Iran bets on endurance, energy disruption to outlast US, Israel

DUBAI, March 10 (Reuters)- - Iran is wagering it can outlast the United States and Israel--not militarily, but by grinding the war into a brutal contest of endurance. Its strategy is stark: Unleash drones and missiles, cut vital energy routes and jolt global markets hard enough to force Washington to blink first.
Despite the shock of the U.S.–Israeli strikes and the loss of key figures, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC)--long the ultimate guardian of the Islamic Republic -- is firmly ‌in control, directing the battlefield, executing pre-planned contingencies and dictating strategy and targets in the war.
Iranian insiders say this escalation was anticipated long before the war began 11 days ago. Iranian planners assumed confrontation with Washington and Israel was inevitable, and prepared a layered strategy coordinated across the Guards’ sprawling military networks and proxy forces.

Now, with little left to lose, Iran is executing that plan and turning the conflict into a grinding war of attrition aimed at exhausting its adversaries politically and economically.
 
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Myradyl Muse

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The most frightening part for me is that the guardrails are off the president's treacherous actions this cycle. Most, if not all, mature, calming, voice of reason 'handlers' left or were ousted. This leaves an out-of-control raging narcissist with psychopathic tendencies, augmented by likely cognitive decline, intoxicated with unchecked power and possessing the attention span of a gnat - surrounded by drooling quivering sycophants and devilish power-greedy incompetents.
Couple this with the apparent proliferation of psychopathic narcissistic-tending leaders in several other countries, and we have a dangerous powderkeg. He is like a toddler having a tantrum, stomping his feet and tossing his exploding toys all over the house. This reality does not erase the other guilty destructive manipulators who are using his meltdowns to enact their agendas.

There was an acutely apt line from Ian Dunt's substack about Britain joining the war ( I think Innula posted it that I can longer locate, most sorry), that read:
'...the world is run by microdick clinically subcognitive narcissist madmen...'
 

Khamon

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Which volcano do I have to throw a Bible in to stop all this reckless evil madness? I am willing to take this quest. Maybe some others could tag along if they want.
The most convenient one is where Louisiana used to be.
 

Innula Zenovka

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There was an acutely apt line from Ian Dunt's substack about Britain joining the war ( I think Innula posted it that I can longer locate, most sorry), that read:
'...the world is run by microdick clinically subcognitive narcissist madmen...'
 

Bartholomew Gallacher

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Furthermore, Trump is perfectly capable of putting Netanyahu in his box when he needs to. Remember last year when Trump made him apologise to Qatar for bombing Dohar and killing a Hamas leader?
This was the Trump from 6 months ago; today we've got a very different Trump whose deterioration of health increased at an alarming speed. A Trump stuck in 1945, because he's demanding unconditional surrender of Iran. The last time another nation did surrender unconditionally was Japan in September 1945.
 
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Bartholomew Gallacher

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Türkiye Today wrote a small portrait about the new man in charge, Mojtaba Khamenei.

Many consider the 56 year old to be an eminence in the shadow, already having pulled strings from there while his father still was being in charge. He's also a known hardliner.

Also most notably the American strikes on Iran killed not only his father Ali, but also his wife and daughter. So many expect him to seek revenge from the US and Israel, not relief.

Also Trump's demands to get rid of him might cement his position of power even more.

 

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Innula Zenovka

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The Economist (Evernote because paywall) America’s war aims may be diverging from Israel’s

Mr Netanyahu is blunt about wishing for regime change. He claims that Israel wants to “create the conditions for the brave Iranian people to take their destiny into their own hands”. Mr Trump, by contrast, has always seemed more enthusiastic about a Venezuela-style victory in which he effects change within the Iranian regime by seeing a more co-operative insider take over. He has demanded Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and said in an interview he must be “involved in the appointment” of Iran’s new supreme leader, “like with Delcy [Rodriguez] in Venezuela.”
Israeli officials increasingly believe that Mr Trump is much less eager than they are, or than they thought he was, to see full regime change. Instead, they reckon he is focused primarily on controlling the flow of oil from Iran. China buys the bulk of the Islamic Republic’s output, at a hefty discount, because it is willing to ignore America’s sanctions on Iranian exports. Mr Trump is due to meet Xi Jinping at the end of March. He would have considerable leverage over China’s leader if he had established control of Iran’s energy supply. Israeli officials became more convinced that this is Mr Trump’s main motive after his officials expressed anger over the scale of a massive Israeli strike on fuel tanks in Tehran on March 7th. It was the first sign of discord between the two countries.
 

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Bulletin warning of Iran-linked threats in US reportedly blocked by White House
The White House has reportedly halted a federal security bulletin warning law enforcement across the United States of a heightened threat potentially tied to the conflict with Iran.

A Trump administration official, speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity to discuss internal government matters, said the bulletin — prepared by the FBI, Department of Homeland Security and National Counterterrorism Center — was intended for local law enforcement agencies nationwide.

The official said the administration asked the bulletin’s immediate release be put on hold to ensure accuracy.
According to the official, the warning — drafted by DHS’ Office of Intelligence and Analysis — lacked sufficient insight and was poorly written.
The TRUMP White House is concerned over poorly written security bulletins. :hellokitty:
 
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This is conspiracy theory territory, but my theory.
Host: What is your theory?
Elk: Oh, what is my theory?
Host: Yes.
Elk: Oh what is my theory, that it is. Yes, well you may well ask, what is my theory.
Host: (slightly impatient) I am asking.
Elk: And well you may. Yes my word you may well ask what it is, this theory of mine. Well, this theory that I have--that is to say, which is mine-- ...is mine.
Host: (more impatient) I know it's yours. What is it?
Elk: Where? Oh, what is my theory?
Host: Yes!
Elk: Oh, my theory that I have follows the lines I am about to relate. (Coughs) Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem.
Host: Oh God.
Elk: Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. Ahem. [Impatient noises from Host] The Theory, by A. Elk. That's A for Anne, it's not by a elk.
Host: Right....
Elk: This theory which belongs to me is as follows. Ahem. Ahem. This is how it goes. Ahem. The next thing that I am about to say is my theory. Ahem. Ready?
(Host moans)
Elk: The Theory by A. Elk brackets Miss brackets. My theory is along the following lines.
Host: Oh God.
Elk: All brontosauruses are thin at one end, much MUCH thicker in the middle, and then thin again at the far end. That is the theory that I have and which is mine, and what it is too.
Host: That's it, is it?
Elk: Right, Chris.
Host: Well, Anne, this theory of yours seems to have hit the nail on the head.
Elk: And it's mine.
 
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Bartholomew Gallacher

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US intelligence reports early indications that Iran might deploy mines in the Street of Hormuz. Trump promises military consequences to Iran that will be at a level never seen before it Iran is trying to do so.

 
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Innula Zenovka

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Trump promises military consequences to Iran that will be at a level never seen before if Iran is trying to do so.
Or, as King Lear, another mad old king, put it,
I will do such things,--
What they are, yet I know not: but they shall be
The terrors of the earth. You think I'll weep
No, I'll not weep:
I have full cause of weeping; but this heart
Shall break into a hundred thousand flaws,
Or ere I'll weep. O fool, I shall go mad!
 
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