The 2024 U.S. Presidential race

[Casey Pelous]

 

[Free]

I guess we have confirmation the hack on Trump's campaign really did happen.

 

[Cindy Claveau]

Not a totally unrealistic outcome with the possible exceptions of Texas and Florida - but trends are pointing in the right direction.

 

[Noodles]

Feels like Ohio would flip before Fl or Texas

 

[Innula Zenovka]

A not unreasonable question, to my mind: why are newspaper editors who were very ready in 2016 to publish the hacked emails from Hillary Clinton's campaign now ignoring the hacked emails from Donald Trump's campaign?

Why are progressive editors hiding Donald Trump’s hacked emails when they ran Hillary Clinton’s? (substack.com)

Evernote Link

The best guess is that they became ashamed of their behaviour in 2016, and resolved not to take leaks from foreign powers again. But readers should not be left to guess. Editors should explain themselves.

The Democratic party has a hostile relationship with the worst parts of the liberal media precisely because of the lack of accountability. They seem hypocritical. I wrote the other day about their willingness to cover Biden’s senility but not Trump’s descent into babbling verbal incontinence.

The same hypocrisy is at work now

“Seriously, the double standard here is incredible,” Neera Tanden, a White House official for the Biden administration said on Twitter. “For all the yapping on interviews, it would be great for people making these decisions to be accountable to the public. Do they now admit they were wrong in 2016 or is the rule that hacked materials are only used when it hurts Dems? There’s no in between.”

 

[Soen Eber]

Someone will publish them, even if only online, even if only in India or Singapore or Hong Kong or a long-running blog people pay attention to or some other "probably legit if we squint our eyes" source. Once published, the mainstream news media will ride their "well since it's already out there" horse and report on it. In the meantime it will be an underground source circulating through the major media until some tipping point is reached, or someone finds confirmation. Reporters are digging (well, the few still employed, but the work may get outsourced to close friends online if it's credible enough).

I can wait until October, it's still Summer. Even if it's put out as a "Friday News Dump" it'll get circulation online, and grow. It's not like Iran isn't going to keep peddling it.

 

[Noodles]

Seems like the reality is that "Trump sells headlines." Couple with "rich people own the media" so they all just, secretly want Trump to win again.

 

[Veritable Quandry]

A not unreasonable question, to my mind: why are newspaper editors who were very ready in 2016 to publish the hacked emails from Hillary Clinton's campaign now ignoring the hacked emails from Donald Trump's campaign?

Why are progressive editors hiding Donald Trump’s hacked emails when they ran Hillary Clinton’s? (substack.com)

Evernote Link

In the years since consolidation of newspapers and broadcast television has gotten worse. Even our "liberal" outlets are generally part of conglomerates with "conservative" owners.

 

[Veritable Quandry]

Not a totally unrealistic outcome with the possible exceptions of Texas and Florida - but trends are pointing in the right direction.

In the 2022 elections the partisan lean in Ohio was R+6. Texas was R+5 and Florida R+3. That is how each state voted compared to the national polling average.

If Harris is leading in polls by 3% that ties Florida. But there are factors that I think put Florida as a possibility. DeSantis has alienated a lot of voters, and there are ballot measures on abortion and cannabis that will help turn out efforts.

In Ohio, Sharrod Brown was polling well in his Senate race even before Biden withdrew, but he is a rare liberal Democrat that can still reach out to conservative workers. But he does not seem to effect other races, so it isn't a good indicator. We do have a statewide ballot issue on redistricting which has a lot of enthusiasm that might help.

Texas is probably more safe for Republicans. Cruz is gliding towards reelection and his challenger is not that exciting. There isn't anything else on the ballot to use for driving voters, although the state government keeps passing really stupid laws. Population shifts could make Texas competitive in the future, but probably not this election. The partisan lean used to be much more red, but that still doesn't put it in play unless Harris wins by 6% in the national average. She has increased enthusiasm and hopefully that drives turnout, but I would be pleasantly surprised if in this divided electorate she gets that high a margin.

 

[Beebo Brink]

I subscribed to his channel on the strength of this video alone, the only standout of his collection, to be honest. Hoping he does more like this, because it was wicked funny. JD Vance next, please, please, please.

 

[Rose Karuna]

This is interesting ...

 

[Cindy Claveau]

We are in your head and up your ass (Lincoln Project)

Pussy Ass Bitch.

 

[Free]

We are in your head and up your ass (Lincoln Project)

I love the legal replies of this time.

 

[GoblinCampFollower]

We are in your head and up your ass (Lincoln Project)

Pussy Ass Bitch.

To his followers, him losing the lawsuit would just be more proof the justice system is corrupt! But yes, I'd love to see that lawsuit.

 

[Free]

A not unreasonable question, to my mind: why are newspaper editors who were very ready in 2016 to publish the hacked emails from Hillary Clinton's campaign now ignoring the hacked emails from Donald Trump's campaign?

One particular venue's explanation is awkwardly apparent, but the reason is: Trump is good for their business.

Politico owner says his email asking colleagues to ‘pray’ for Trump was done in jest

Former president represented windfall for media companies

www.independent.co.uk

“Donald Trump has made American journalism great again,” Mr Zucker quipped to an audience in 2017.

Others have said basically the same.

“The Trump presidency for the news business — literally the business — has been very good,” said Joseph Kahn, now executive editor of The New York Times, the same year.

 

[Isabeau]

It’s from this live feed, in the « Inside the fast-moving launch of Kamala Harris for president » post.

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-harris-election-08-18-24/index.html

Three weeks into her campaign, President Joe Biden's pollsters held a deep-dive call with Harris' inner circle to discuss what she's been saying on the stump.

Some of their suggestions included a focus on the future, and to lay off the "weird" talk.

Harris' advisers listened. They considered the arguments. They decided to stick with what the crowds were chanting in the arenas.

And when advisers who had been on the call briefed the vice president on the suggestions, according to CNN's conversations with close to a dozen people involved with internal campaign decisions, she told them she wasn't going to listen to the pollsters herself and would instead trust the instincts she had buried under self-doubt for so long.

Many political obsessives who had largely written off the vice president can't understand how a woman whose early struggles they still keenly remember is now projecting as succinct and punchy, comfortable onstage and in her own skin.

 

[GoblinCampFollower]

One particular venue's explanation is awkwardly apparent, but the reason is: Trump is good for their business.

Politico owner says his email asking colleagues to ‘pray’ for Trump was done in jest

Former president represented windfall for media companies

www.independent.co.uk

A lot of people think the Media has a liberal bias when really they have a bias towards clickbait and upsetting content because that's good for their business. You can often generate clickbait with Trump's actual words.... This is obviously a reasons the Media isn't good for society. Every sane person wants politics to be boring in a sense. If the economy, crime, etc. are all improving, people are happy, but the media has nothing to talk about. They struggled a lot during the Obama years for this reason and they remember this.

It's always a major conflict of interest when an industry benefits a lot from disaster. This is why there are so many conspiracy theories about defense contractors lobbying for stupid wars. They need it for business.

 

[Cindy Claveau]

Things I trust more than Donald Trump

Includes "dinner with Jeffrey Dahmer".

 

[Free]

Images not AI-generated, like those fake Harris crowds.

 

[Isabeau]

That pear reaction is now my weirdo button.

I can’t make out what it says,
Full Family Sip?