Donald Trump woke up Monday morning with a 29% approval rating, picked up his phone, and announced that the United States is working on a “massive Deal” to buy potash from Belarus for “substantially less than we are currently paying to Canada.” A few hours later, the dictator of Belarus told his own customs chief, on the record, that he has no potash to sell to the West. So here we are in September 2026, and Alexander Lukashenko, a man who steals elections and jails anyone who complains about it, is a more reliable source on American trade policy than the American president.