The German news magazine has today a column named "Donald Trump's putsch strategies" by Sascha Lobo. Content is exactly as the title suggests - how Trump might make a coup in November in case he looses the election, and the signs&stepping stones to that so far.
Should he lose the election in November, Donald Trump will probably not recognise the result. No one will be able to prevent him from staging a coup d'état, he and his allies have long made sure of that.
The protests following the racist murder of George Floyd in the United States are also a reaction to the country's racist structures, which Donald Trump has deepened and strengthened. And they point to the last missing piece of the puzzle in a monstrous strategy: Donald Trump is preparing a coup d'état (read the article by my colleague René Pfister). The clues are there, it is only necessary to put together a few circumstantial suppositions. Most of the coup scenario consists of Trump's own words and actions, supplemented by those of his party colleagues.
From 1865 - The older story
When slavery was officially abolished in the USA in 1865, the great fear of the white Southerners was that the black population would gain too much influence through voting rights. "Voter Suppression" was supposed to be an antidote, the deliberate making of voting more difficult, especially for black and also economically weaker Americans. From this attitude derives the current understanding of democracy by the Republican party leadership. Majorities are at stake - but not all of them. That is why prison inmates (40% black) are often not allowed to vote, for example. That is why tricks such as gerrymandering have been developed, in which electoral districts are tailored so that one party benefits from them, that is why in some states certain identity documents are required for voting, which poorer parts of the population rarely have.
Since 2001 - The recent history
With the victory of George W. Bush, an idea that has been discussed at least since the 1980s reached the White House: a "perpetual presidency" of the Republicans. The notorious strategist Karl Rove speaks of the "permanent Republican majority". And this is to be achieved by almost all means. Democracy should be the backdrop against which a permanent Republican rule is installed.
Not that one wouldn't trust Trump to do everything anyway, after he made out "very fine people" under swastika-waving Nazis and after children were put into cages in the USA. But a quote from 2016 seems almost like an announcement. Three weeks before the election Trump says: "I will absolutely accept the result of this great and historic election - if I win!"
January 2017 - start of the election rigging
The extreme narcissist Trump can't lose, and if he does, he invents a reason why he actually won. Hillary Clinton got more votes overall, Trump gets the majority of the electorate and becomes president. But his inauguration statement is a good one: he claims that Clinton was able to get more votes than him by rigging the elections. It is the beginning of the electoral fraud story, Trump's strategy to delegitimize election results at will.
From 2017 - The Projection
In psychology it is called projection, when you project your own plans onto others. "The Democrats are planning a coup," Trump has repeatedly claimed, for the investigation by former FBI Chief Robert Mueller and the Democrats' impeachment considerations. In my estimation, Trump's accusation is not only a right-wing pose to stage himself as the most powerful man in the world, nor a victim. It is also an attempt to turn the defence into an attack disguised as self-defence.
From 2017 - Creation of a Trump reality
Trump's followers are in a reality of their own; they do not care about factual reality, but develop a sectarian understanding of the world: Trump is always right, even when he is not right. Because everything that speaks against Trump is staged by his enemies. In case of doubt, it is a "deep state", an official conspiracy against Trump, of which he himself often spoke. It is a trick to make state action appear legitimate only when it has been approved by Trump: sheer authoritarianism, in other words.
April 2017 - Trumps first constitutional judge
The Supreme Court is essential in the American electoral process when deciding on controversial practices and situations. George W. Bush also won in 2000 because the Constitutional Court stopped a recount. At the beginning of 2016, a conservative constitutional judge, who should have been replaced by the then incumbent President Obama, will die. The Republicans use procedural tricks to delay the nomination, so that in April 2017 the first trump judge Neil Gorsuch is elected to the highest court.
June 2018 - The surprise resignation of another constitutional judge
The Supreme Court is such a central, political power body in the USA, because there the presidential power is to be controlled together with the laws. In June 2018, a rather liberal judge who was actually appointed for life resigns under strange circumstances. Trump gets his second constitutional judge and thus a clear, conservative majority in the Supreme Court.
September 2019 - The Impeachment Debacle
The Democrats, with their majority in Congress, are starting an impeachment process. A few months later, they will fail as crashingly as foreseeable against the Republican Senate majority, but now Trump's story that the Democrats are planning a coup against him has official fodder. Very cleverly, Trump builds a counter-narration that he posts on Twitter. where he posts, "DEMOCRATS WANT TO STEAL THE ELECTION!"
October 2019 - The minions radicalize
Trump's supporters have been radicalized since 2016. Even during election campaigns, the aggressive mood, for example against the free press, was described several times. In the meantime, things have gone far beyond that. In October 2019 the right-wing to right-wing extremist festival "Trumpstock" will take place in Arizona. One visitor says he has hoarded weapons in case Trump's re-election is not successful: "Nothing less than a civil war would happen. I do not believe in violence, but I will do what I must do." Two months later, a man at a Trump rally unflinchingly says to the camera of one of the biggest TV stations: "It won't be cancelled... my .357 Magnum feels good with it. End of story." Mind you, this is a perfectly normal, democratic process: a lost election.
November 2019 - The Insider's Warning
In the USA, the book "A Warning" is published, written by an anonymous person from Trump's immediate environment in the White House. It contains the following quote: "If Trump is removed from office, whether by impeachment or a narrow defeat at the ballot box, ... Trump will not quietly and simply resign. That's why he talks so often about coups in progress and a civil war on the horizon. He plants this tale in the minds of his followers, and this tale can end tragically."
April 6, 2020 - The Supreme Court Test Run
The Supreme Court will decide whether there can be an extension of the deadline for postal voting in Wisconsin. The Democratic governor had initiated several proceedings because of the Corona pandemic in order to be able to vote as safely as possible. But absentee voting is seen as an electoral facilitation that is more likely to benefit the Democrats. The Supreme Court rejects it.
April 30, 2020 - The militias threaten
Between 30 April and 15 May 2020 there are alleged "anti-Corona protests". In Michigan, they are mainly directed against Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a favorite enemy of Trump, who has often contradicted him. The protesters, recognizable by their signets as radical right-wingers, enter parliament armed and threaten the members of parliament. The Pro-Trump militias, which have formed, armed and trained throughout the country, can immediately recognize this visual language as a signal: When in doubt, we must use force of arms to put pressure on parliaments.
May 2020 - Trumps preparation
Picking up on the 2017 election rigging story, Trump continues to stress on Twitter that the November election could be rigged. He is particularly interested in the absentee ballot, which may be of benefit to the Democrats, but at the same time is only a pretextual argument. Trump is preparing to call an election outcome that does not suit him a falsification.
May 10, 2020 - Trump's propaganda channel immunized
Fox News, the lying propaganda platform for Trump disguised as a news channel, speaks over and over again of an alleged coup d'état by the left. It is ultimately the well-known story of self-defence.