Bartholomew Gallacher
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U.S. President Donald Trump on May 8 announced a surprise prisoner exchange and three-day ceasefire in Russia's war against Ukraine from May 9-11 amid mounting tensions between Kyiv and Moscow on the eve of Russia's Victory Day celebrations.
The announcement was swiftly followed by a tongue-in-cheek official decree from President Volodymyr Zelensky in which he said he would "allow a parade to be held in Moscow."
"For the duration of the parade (beginning at 10:00 a.m. Kyiv time on May 9, 2026), the area of Red Square shall be excluded from the plan for the use of Ukrainian weapons," the declaration reads. It also includes the precise coordinates of Moscow's Red Square.
The declaration makes no mention of a ceasefire on attacks elsewhere in Russia.
Moscow has banned the publication of information about the consequences of drone strikes and other attacks without official permission, according to a statement published by the Moscow city government on May 13.
This move is part of a broader wave of restrictions the Kremlin has introduced since 2025 to tighten control over information inside Russia, alongside internet shutdowns and the blocking of non-state platforms such as YouTube and WhatsApp, which in many cases are now accessible only through virtual private networks (VPNs).
The idea that Moscow can be protected has now been shown to be a myth. The attacks of the last few days demonstrate that for now, no matter how much air defense the Russians concentrate around the capital, the Ukrainians can find a way through. Moreover, as Ukrainian production of long range strike ramps up, unless the Russians can devise a counter, these attacks will get worse.
The Ukrainian strategy seems to be to go for strategic targets -- factories and oil refineries, for example -- and not (as do the Russians and as Trump threatens to in Iran) civilian targets, be they apartment blocks or power plants. But the point is that it's able to attack factories, oil refineries and airports in and around Moscow, despite massive air defences.Attacking Moscow for real with a big strike is the dumbest thing Ukraine could do at the moment. The strategy of pinpricks however might be beneficial to give the Russian population something to think about.