The 2024 U.S. Presidential race

[Cindy Claveau]

It was filling the top part of my google news feed (which I curate and trim out right wing papers off of), and there were a number threads on r/politics about it.

So, honest question: You actually read /r/politics?!

No wonder you see so much doom and gloom!

 

[detrius]

 

[Free]

I would like to laugh at that video. But...

 

[Monica Dream]

So, honest question: You actually read /r/politics?!

Not regularly -for that reason. But when something happens I do check it as a barometer of what people are talking about.

Unreliable af, granted

Actually, given that I have enough mental health problems I try to avoid politics altogether; but the election is everywhere this year.

 

[Imnotgoing Sideways]

That hit harder than a 10 year old Simpsons episode. (o.o)

 

[Beebo Brink]

Margaret Hoover Says Trump's Campaign Is Concerned

I think if you’re the Trump campaign, you’re not looking at CNN’s numbers. You’re looking at your own internal, and I honestly think, I think their internals are actually giving them pause because I think they’re seeing even more– look, they do have a lot of resources for polling more than public media companies have. And they’re probably seeing the same things that you guys are talking about, which is that there’s real groundswell in the early vote. There’s real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure.

I have heard from Republicans that there is concern at the Trump campaign amongst the operatives that actually really do know the political wherewithal, the turnout and enthusiasm numbers aren’t where they need to be.

 

[Beebo Brink]

Groundgame matters.

Angry Trump Starts Blame Game as Polls Reveal Big New Problem for Him | The New Republic

With Trump suddenly scapegoating others in advance even though the race is tied, a top MoveOn official walks us through what could be worrying Trump: the gap between both sides’ ground games.

 

[Free]

Oh, if ONLY Trump was an AI generated character, or something not so real.

 

[Free]

By the way, unforced errors?

 

[Free]

For the stressed among us: take a breath, read this tweet, and start hoping (and maybe dig through some of PurringProgress' polling-related tweets over the past few days).

 

[Veritable Quandry]

This entire cycle Harris' favorability ratings have been way above Trump's. That is one of many reasons I don't trust polling models this year.

 

[Free]

Oh good gods.

Trump sues CBS over Kamala Harris interview

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump sued CBS on Thursday over an interview of his Democratic rival Kamala Harris aired in early October that the lawsuit alleged was “doctored” and misleading, according to a court filing.

The filing was made in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texas. Trump and Harris face each other in what polls show to be a tight race for the Nov. 5 U.S. elections.

The suit demanded a jury trial and at least $10 billion in damages, the filing showed.

Fucking insane campaign.

 

[Free]

It's so clownish I have to comment on it in a new post: $10 billion in damages. Jesus.

 

[Beebo Brink]

We handed out Halloween candy for two hours this evening, and not one person gave us grief over our Kamala Harris banners (although one older man looked a bit sour and wouldn't meet our gaze). Several women, on the other hand, gave us a thumb's up when they spied our campaign signs as their kids were getting candy. My favorite, however, was a weedy, obviously precocious boy about 8 years old who blurted out "We don't like Trump!" According to his mother, he loves watching political shows.

 

[Innula Zenovka]

It's so clownish I have to comment on it in a new post: $10 billion in damages. Jesus.

Yet another way in which he tries and fails compete with Putin

Russia fines Google more than world's entire GDP for blocking YouTube accounts

The US firm can reportedly only return to the Russian market if it complies with the court decision.

news.sky.com

 

[Essence Lumin]

Yet another way in which he tries and fails compete with Putin

Russia fines Google more than world's entire GDP for blocking YouTube accounts

The US firm can reportedly only return to the Russian market if it complies with the court decision.

news.sky.com

The headline is a little misleading. The fine is more like a trillion times a trillion times the world's gdp.

 

[Free]

Kamala Harris depicted chained up behind golf cart during Pennsylvania Halloween parade

Some participants in a Halloween parade in Westmoreland County are coming under fire for their depiction of Vice President Kamala Harris in a float.

Photos of the float in Wednesday night's Halloween parade in Mount Pleasant show a utility vehicle decorated with American flags and Trump campaign signs and people dressed as United States Secret Service agents with what appears to be a rifle mounted on top with a person dressed as Harris chained up and walking behind the cart.

Imagine the freak out if they'd done this in a parade with a Donny Boy lookalike?

 

[Innula Zenovka]

The headline is a little misleading. The fine is more like a trillion times a trillion times the world's gdp.

I asked ChatGPT how long it will take before they owe a google roubles, and how long before they have to pay a googleplex roubles.

• A googol roubles: achievable in about 212 days.
• A googolplex roubles: practically unachievable.

The explanation

Finding Days to Reach a Googolplex Roubles
For a googolplex, the target is so massive that the doubling process, even starting from an undecillion, will not reach it in a practical timeframe within the known universe. The doubling required would vastly exceed any possible real-world time span due to physical limits on energy, mass, and time.

 

[Essence Lumin]

I asked ChatGPT how long it will take before they owe a google roubles, and how long before they have to pay a googleplex roubles.

The explanation

Another way to look at it is a googol is 1 with 100 zeros. A quark is the smallest thing there is, and there are around 1 with 80 zeros of them in the observable universe.

 

[GoblinCampFollower]

The headline is a little misleading. The fine is more like a trillion times a trillion times the world's gdp.

Insert joke about how worthless roubles are....

I asked ChatGPT how long it will take before they owe a google roubles, and how long before they have to pay a googleplex roubles.

• A googol roubles: achievable in about 212 days.

Wait.... where did this calculation come from? I can see why a googolplex roubles is clearly unachievable but I think a regular googol is also clearly unachievable. Chat GPT's reasoning is a bit suspect.