The US-Iran War Has Begun

Innula Zenovka

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Four men arrested suspected of spying for Iranian intelligence in London area

Four people have been arrested on suspicion of spying for Iran on locations and individuals linked to the Jewish community in the London area, Scotland Yard has said.

The men – one Iranian and three dual British-Iranian nationals – were arrested on Friday at addresses in Barnet and Watford on suspicion of assisting a foreign intelligence service, namely Iran, the Metropolitan police said.

Police said the investigation related to suspected surveillance of locations and individuals linked to the Jewish community in the London area.
Six other men, aged 29, 39, 42, 49 and two aged 20, were arrested in Harrow on suspicion of assisting an offender. One of the men was further arrested on suspicion of assaulting a police officer.
 
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Cristiano

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Isn't that a bit of a dodgy source.
Sid, reporter and freedom fighter for Virtualverse.one (if you see what I did there)

My tip: don't believe Facebook. Only very prominent verified people from very renown news sources are somewhat trustworthy in war times.
That is not Facebook and I know how to evaluate sources. This is the actual source:


His analysis is spot on. Iran’s response has devastated the US military power especially in ways never seen before. They have made surgical strikes against American military sites across the Middle East, notably critical major communication and radar sites. The US and Israel are both suppressing media to prevent the truth getting out, but it is impossible to fully control individual journalists and others from reporting. Trump and Netanyahu made a massive miscalculation in starting this fight, and they are involving the entire Middle East. They opened Pandora’s proverbial box.
 

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This is a map showing the physical geography of Iran. It makes pretty clear why invading Iran is not easy, because the country has vast and high mountains.

It is also huge. For USAnians, it is about the size of California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas (!) combined.

For the more internationally minded, think France plus Spain plus Germany plus Italy, plus Poland plus the whole UK.

There's some geography behind why Persia dominated so much history for so long.
 

Sid

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This is the actual source:
No offense, but everybody and his dog can get an account at substrack and start to be a journalist, no?
At least I got the impression when I went to have a peek at that site.
Truth is the first casualty in wartime, not only on the American side. But on every side.
 

Cristiano

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No offense, but everybody and his dog can get an account at substrack and start to be a journalist, no?
At least I got the impression when I went to have a peek at that site.
Truth is the first casualty in wartime, not only on the American side. But on every side.
Of course. As I pointed out, it is the analysis that is absolutely correct, borne out by other reporting. It is not the first time I have seen his substack. What exactly are you objecting to?
 

Innula Zenovka

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That is not Facebook and I know how to evaluate sources. This is the actual source:


His analysis is spot on. Iran’s response has devastated the US military power especially in ways never seen before. They have made surgical strikes against American military sites across the Middle East, notably critical major communication and radar sites. The US and Israel are both suppressing media to prevent the truth getting out, but it is impossible to fully control individual journalists and others from reporting. Trump and Netanyahu made a massive miscalculation in starting this fight, and they are involving the entire Middle East. They opened Pandora’s proverbial box.
He seems to be a commentator and polemicist rather than a reporter, writing from a particular point of view (he's a Jewish-Arab Israeli). He also seems to produce podcasts rather than essays, and I don't have the time or the inclination to sign up for a 7 day free trial to assess them, when I can get my news from the BBC, Reuters and the FT. His analysis may well be valuable but that's not the same as verified reporting.

However, looking at his posts on SubStack, I came across this from 4 days ago


If I'm reading the map and Iranian mood right, tonight could be the night they start dismantling Israel's power manufacturing capability. Moving to a new generation of missiles means actual strategic breaking apart of Israel.
This is a no-holds-barred contest, and between Israel and Iran, the first to paralyze the other's infrastructure will be the almost assured winner.
Only Iran is 100 times larger than Israel, has a huge pool of engineers, has prepared for this, and also has China on their side to help repair major damages and replace broken parts quickly. Israel has MBZ and King Abdullah II.
It may take another night, or 2 max, but parts of Israel will go dark in this war. Maybe then Israelis will realize what mess they're in
If parts of Israel have already gone dark in this war, two days after they were due to, I've not yet seen it confirmed.
 
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Cristiano

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He seems to be a commentator and polemicist rather than a reporter, writing from a particular point of view (he's a Jewish-Arab Israeli). He also seems to produce podcasts rather than essays, and I don't have the time or the inclination to sign up for a 7 day free trial to assess them, when I can get my news from the BBC, Reuters and the FT. His analysis may well be valuable but that's not the same as verified reporting.

However, looking at his posts on SubStack, I came across this from 4 days ago




If parts of Israel have already gone dark in this war, two days after they were due to, I've not yet seen it confirmed.
 

Sid

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f parts of Israel have already gone dark in this war, two days after they were due to, I've not yet seen it confirmed.
If said story would be true, it would be all over the place by now. There are a lot of free media outside the USA that are not controlled by the USA. And a lot of countries would love to see Trump go flat on his face rather sooner than later and removed out of the oval office IMHO, so they would bring such a story prominent on their news sites. They have their own reporters in all kind of countries in the Middle East.
The USA and Israel couldn't swipe the unfortunate school bombing under the carpet either.

Rule number 1 during war time for me: One source is no source.
 
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Cristiano

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If said story would be true, it would be all over the place by now. There are a lot of free media outside the USA that are not controlled by the USA. And a lot of countries would love to see Trump go flat on his face rather sooner than later out of the oval office IMHO, so they would bring such a story prominent on their news sites.
The USA and Israel couldn't swipe the unfortunate school bombing under the carpet either.

Rule number 1 during war time for me: One source is no source.
His analysis was on things I have seen from other sources, and it is broad view on what is actually happening now that the US so stupidly went along with Netanyahu's blood lust - Iran has been prepared for decades for this, and they are using asymmetrical warfare to punish every neighbor that has aided the US and Israel, while striking key critical targets to disrupt capabilities and exhaust expensive missile defense systems with cheap drones.

The US had no plan, and it shows. Iran, on the other hand, is going full scorched earth and can wait this out. It is all for fucking nothing except to serve Netanyahu, and it is a game of chicken that the US and Israel are losing. I don't need one source to confirm that - many have shown aspects of it, including media outside the US and Israel. Even Israelis are getting the truth out even though it is dangerous for them to do so.
 
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Sid

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The situation in Iran is totally underestimated by the USA government for sure and yes, the start of this war campaign was not very well prepared especially when it comes to drone attacks and the number of missiles Iran had to counter attack.
But that guy had a very colored and an exaggerating way of bringing the news IMHO.
 

Cristiano

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The situation in Iran is totally underestimated by the USA government for sure and yes, the start of this war campaign was not very well prepared especially when it comes to drone attacks and the number of missiles Iran had to counter attack.
But that guy had a very colored and an exaggerating way of bringing the news IMHO.
That is fine. I think as an Israeli, he has an interesting perspective and I find him enjoyable. We all have "colored" views. If you recognize them, there is still value in those opinions and commentary, even if you don't always agree. You never did identify what you took issue with as not being true.
 

Cristiano

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Trump spent so much time as Putin's bitch, even easing sanctions so Russia can sell oil to Europe for now, and Russia is helping Iran lol. Oopsie. Who could have seen this coming FROM SPACE?

 

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It is also huge. For USAnians, it is about the size of California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas (!) combined.

For the more internationally minded, think France plus Spain plus Germany plus Italy, plus Poland plus the whole UK.
Well for Americans saying "almost as big as Alaska" should be sufficient enough, also better understandable. But with 91 million people living in it instead of 740.000 in Alaska.
 
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Casey Pelous

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Well for Americans saying "almost as big as Alaska" should be sufficient enough, also better understandable. But with 91 million people living in it instead of 740.000 in Alaska.
Thank you for your generous view of 'murican geographic knowledge. Reality is that many would be surprised to learn Alaska is a) a state and b) bigger than Texas. Of course, those are the same ones who would wonder why I included Mexico in my list.
 
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Iran doesn't get to decide if they will unconditionally surrender or not. Only Trump gets to decide that.

Trump is The New Decider.