USA Election Day 2018

[Dakota Tebaldi]

 

[Lianne Marten]

Well, poop.

The Latest: Abrams says she can't win Georgia governor race | Associated Press

Note that she didn't actually concede, since the race was a sham that was stolen by the person running the election. The guy who won.

 

[Free]

EDIT: Original tweet is gone (for some reason). Was basically this, but with more inspirational quote and less parody tweeter:

 

[danielravennest]

Note that she didn't actually concede, since the race was a sham that was stolen by the person running the election. The guy who won.

The Democrats did pick up 1 US House seat in Georgia, and came within 900 votes of picking up a second. It just means we have to work harder next time, and allow more time for demographics to work in our favor. Note the population change by county size . Large counties are growing, small counties are shrinking or not growing as fast as the state as a whole (8.85% since 2010).

 

[Argent Stonecutter]

Looks like the Tweet you linked has been deleted, Free.

 

[Cristiano]

 

[Brian]

Blue wave best scenario prediction, although unlikely, was as high as 40 seats gained by Democrats in the House.
We didn't really come close to that on November 6th.

It's still election day in -

Utah:

This turn-around will make the gain 39 seats.
But shame on heavily populated Broward County for not being finished after two days.

California:
Seems this election night call might have been premature.

 

[Porsupah Ree]

It’s over. Democrat Ben McAdams ousts Republican Rep Mia Love by 694 votes

Final vote counts Tuesday showed that Democrat Ben McAdams did not jump the gun when he declared victory a day earlier over two-term Republican Rep. Mia Love.

He won by 694 votes, or a margin of 50.129 percent to 49.871. That margin of 0.258 was barely outside the 0.25 percent that would have allowed Love to request a recount.

 

[danielravennest]

Democrats won House by 8.8 million vote margin

That's a big increase over the 2.8 million vote margin Clinton had over Trump in 2016.

 

[danielravennest]

The New York Times made a nice graph of margin of victory in 2018 vs how rural/urban the House district was. The hyphenated categories, like "rural-suburban" are because congressional districts often cover two types of population density. The correlation of democratic to population density is very obvious:

 

[Porsupah Ree]

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/11/27/politics/torres-small-yvette-herrell-new-mexico-2nd-congressional-distrit/index.html

Democrat Xochitl Torres Small has defeated Republican Yvette Herrell in one of the nation's last outstanding House races, New Mexico's secretary of state certified Tuesday morning.

The official result brings the total number of Democratic gains in the House to 39 seats, with one race outstanding, according to CNN's count.

 

[danielravennest]

So it appears there *was* some election fraud this year - in North Carolina, by Republicans

 

[Katheryne Helendale]

So it appears there *was* some election fraud this year - in North Carolina, by Republicans

Well, color me surprised... not!

 

[Pamela]

Also some investigation into weird voting machine behavior in Texas, but I have not seen any updates.

 

[danielravennest]

By the way, Tuesday Dec. 4th will *still* be Election Day in Georgia. Two of the statewide offices, Secretary of State and one of the Public Service Commission seats. None of the candidates polled over 50% in November, because the Libertarian candidate got about 2%. So we have a runoff. The significance of Secretary of State is that is the office the voter-supressing governor-elect Brian Kemp held previously. A democrat taking his office would be sweet revenge.

I already did my early voting this week, along with at least 400,000 other people in GA. The result will depend on who has more enthusiasm, because special elections usually have much lower turnout.

 

[Argent Stonecutter]

So it appears there *was* some election fraud this year - in North Carolina, by Republicans

Holy mother of Franklin, that's twisted.

 

[danielravennest]

Also some investigation into weird voting machine behavior in Texas, but I have not seen any updates.

We have that in Georgia too. In a normal ballot, you get some drop-off in votes cast as you go down the list, because some people haven't investigated the lesser offices, or are in a hurry. This time, the lieutenant governor showed 100,000 missing votes, but *only* on the machine tally. The mail-in votes show no such drop-off, which indicates is was not disinterest in that race. Georgia has no paper trail for our election machines, so we don't have a way to verify how many votes were actually cast. One thing you can do is inspect the software and test the machines, but the Secretary of State, who oversees elections, seems disinterested in doing that. Here's a comparison of votes this year by office vs past years, relative to the governor's vote, which is first on the ballot:

 

[Brian]

So it appears there *was* some election fraud this year - in North Carolina, by Republicans

When you think you've heard it all, more details begin to emerge.
His linked newsletter in the Twitter thread offers more.



It looks safe to go deeper because the rabbit hole has been mapped.

 

[Free]