US Election Day 2020

Dakota Tebaldi

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22.8k in PA
1.8k in GA

The closer the count gets to even in Georgia, the smaller the gains it seems Biden makes each update. I really am still very much in the air about whether Georgia will actually flip, even now that it's this close. If Biden starts to lead it won't be by much - possibly not a safe-from-recount amount! The numbers in PA sound a lot better.

So what's going to happen next is going to be weird. Let's assume one of these two states will flip overnight.

If it's GA that flips, once there's no more ballots left to count, Fox News and the AP will be able to call the race for Biden but they're the only ones, because only they have called Arizona for Biden already - something it's very possible they might have to retract at some point if Arizona flips. The other players, who haven't called Arizona yet, will still have to wait for Nevada because Georgia flipping won't put Biden over the finish line in their counts.

If it's PA that flips, then once the count gets far enough ahead to call PA for Biden, all of the players should pretty much call the whole race for Biden because PA has enough points to make both Arizona and Nevada a non-issue.
 

Dakota Tebaldi

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I have to say, kind of mad that networks are only now cutting off trump when he lies. It did not occur to them to do it the first year?
YES! It was funny and I didn't want to ruin the moment; but yeah, cutting off a Trump rant now when they're reasonably confident Biden is about to win the election isn't some kind of impressively brave move.
 
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Centrist House Democrats lash out at liberal colleagues, blame far-left views for costing the party seats | Washington Post

The bitter exchange, which lasted more than three hours as members sniped back and forth over tactics and ideology, reflected the extent to which the 2020 campaign exposed simmering tensions in the party even as its presidential nominee, Joe Biden, stands on the brink of achieving their biggest goal of the year — ousting President Trump.
“We need to not ever use the word ‘socialist’ or ‘socialism’ ever again. . . . We lost good members because of that,” Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.), who narrowly leads in her reelection bid, said heatedly. “If we are classifying Tuesday as a success . . . we will get f---ing torn apart in 2022.”
Liberals, meanwhile, fired back. Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), co-chairman of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, argued that Democrats shouldn’t single out people and ideas that energize the party base. Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), a self-described democratic socialist, grew angry, accusing her colleagues of only being interested in appealing to White people in suburbia.
“To be real, it sounds like you are saying stop pushing for what Black folks want,” she said.
 

Jolene Benoir

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That's just stupid. Trump was going to label any and every Democrat a socialist. His doing of that turned voters, not what we actually did or didn't do.
I agree. I wish there weren't so many members of the house that do not.
 

Chin Rey

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Only 665 now.
463 and less than 50,000 votes left to count. (Edit: Biden is now ahead by 917)

There will be a recount, that's for sure. The cutoff in Georgia is 1% and there is no way either candidate will win by a margin that big.
 
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Ariane

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While we watch if PA and GA flip, there is good news out of Arizona.

The late night release of numbers tonight showed less than 7000 new votes, but THEY WERE IN BIDEN'S FAVOR! After three releases of votes that showed Trump on track to possibly winning Arizona, tonight showed that not all the new votes are coming from red precincts. Trump needs at least 58% of the remaining votes to take AZ. Pretty sure it won't happen.