The Russia-Ukraine War has begun

Bartholomew Gallacher

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WTF: the cargo ship "Atlantic Navigator II", left from Russia and made a stop in Rostock, Germany. It transports 251 containers of birch wood, which are subject to the EU's sanctions against Russia. Therefore German authorities have detained the ship due to supposed breach of the sanctions.

The vessel also transports enriched uranium, which is not sanctioned though and therefore no reason for actions.

 

Soen Eber

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WTF: the cargo ship "Atlantic Navigator II", left from Russia and made a stop in Rostock, Germany. It transports 251 containers of birch wood, which are subject to the EU's sanctions against Russia. Therefore German authorities have detained the ship due to supposed breach of the sanctions.

The vessel also transports enriched uranium, which is not sanctioned though and therefore no reason for actions.

Russia is the key supplier for several nuclear plants, and it doesn't have a lot of competition world-wide. Not only is it a dirty business to mine the stuff, but safely handling and processing it is capital intensive. Not a venture for the faint of heart.
 

Bartholomew Gallacher

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The Washington Post has leaked Trump's secret plan on how to end the war in Ukraine. The plan is to pressure Ukraine in giving up some territory to Russia, like Donbass and Crimea. Furthermore Trump has pressured already many GOP members not to approve additional Ukraine aids.

Some foreign policy experts said Trump’s idea would reward Russian President Vladimir Putin and condone the violation of internationally recognized borders by force.

 
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Chin Rey

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The Washington Post has leaked Trump's secret plan on how to end the war in Ukraine. The plan is to pressure Ukraine in giving up some territory to Russia, like Donbass and Crimea.
Well, yes, that's obvious and fairly typical of Trump. Exactly how is he going to pressure Ukraine? Cut off the non-existent aid? Send in troops to attack Ukraine? As it is now, USA has no leverage over Ukraine at all and the Ukrainians have no reason to give in to demands from the US president.
 

Bartholomew Gallacher

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Well Trump could stop the exchange of intelligence data. This would be probably quite desastrous for Ukraine.
 

Veritable Quandry

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Ending sanctions on Russia, especially allowing full energy sales and sales of chips and weapons.
 

Chin Rey

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Well Trump could stop the exchange of intelligence data.
Yes, that's an interesting aspect, not only for Ukraine. With Trump as president, the other NATO countries and USA's other allies around the world may have to try to disentangle their intel services from USA's because of the obvious security risk. That's going to be really messy and may even be impossible. And if it doesn't happen, Ukraine will still have access to US intel through NATO.

Ending sanctions on Russia, especially allowing full energy sales and sales of chips and weapons.
Oil sanctions are mainly enforced through the shipping and insurance companies. Those are mostly European owned so there's not that much the US government can do to undermine them.

As for providing Russia with advanced technology and even weapons, i hope and believe that would be one step too far even for most of the crazies in the Republican party. It would certainly be dozens of steps too far for any of USA's current allies.

It would also be difficult to find ways to do it legally. Take the Abrams tank for example. It has a German gun and there's not a chance in Hell Germany will ever give permission to have it exported to Russia. It's a similar story with most advanced western weapons systems. Most of the corporations are nominally US and the factories are in the USA but a significant part of the components and technology are European and quite a lot of the stock is European owned too.

As for microprocessors, USA is a net importer of them with 12% of the world's manufacturing capacity and 46% of the market. I doubt they have many to spare for the Russians.
 

Veritable Quandry

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More likely a Trump administration would turn a blind eye to imports from other countries to Russia. Or increase waivers that allows India to buy Russian oil.
 

Chin Rey

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More likely a Trump administration would turn a blind eye to imports from other countries to Russia.
What other countries? If you're talking about advanced weapon systems and other high tech stuff, it would mainly be the European nations, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Canada and Australia. None of these countries need to be told by USA not to sell to Russia. If anything they are more supportive of the sanctions than even the Biden administration is, certainly not less.

Or increase waivers that allows India to buy Russian oil.
That's an interesting point but a bit complicated. Russian oil export to India has dropped drastically recently to the point where Indian refineries have refused to take delivery of shipments already on the way. The reason for this seems to be the valuta. India refuses to pay in rubles and Russia has no interest in selling for rupees. The solution they have come up with is to trade in Chinese yuan. This works to some degree but there are limits to how much Indian companies are interested in buying that way.
 
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Sid

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The Democrats simply have to keep the orange one out of The Oval Office. That is all it takes.
If not enough people can be arsed to go out and vote, especially in the swing states, the world will be screwed, not only Ukraine and the USA.
 

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Trump thought Ukraine ‘must be part of Russia’ during presidency, book says

“He really could not get his head around the idea that Ukraine was an independent state.”

This, Sanger writes, meant Trump’s view of Ukraine was “essentially identical” to that of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president who would order an invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, a year after Trump left office.
 

Chin Rey

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The House of Congress passed another round of $95bn military aid for Ukraine, now the Senate has to confirm it.
95 billions is for Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan and several other purposes too. Still, 60.84 billions of the money is earmarked Ukraine and that is stipulated to be enough for them to keep up the resistance for 18 months.
 

Veritable Quandry

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Everything the Senate passed a few months ago without the border security package the two parties negotiated. Another stellar win for Johnson.
 

Innula Zenovka

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Clearly there's considerable bi-partisan support for Ukraine, despite Trump and MAGA's support for Putin. What wider implications, if any, does these Republican legislators' belated willingness to defy Trump and his acolytes have?