Eleven months ago, The Des Moines Register released the results of a statewide poll showing Donald Trump well ahead in the Republican Party’s presidential caucuses. At the time, the former president described the survey as “a big beautiful poll,” and singled out pollster J. Ann Selzer for praise.
The newspaper, the GOP candidate said, has “a great pollster — actually very, very powerful pollster, very good, talented pollster.”
That was before The Des Moines Register
published the results of its latest statewide poll:
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory. A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.
“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” Selzer said.
And yet, the latest results found Harris with a three-point advantage. (The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
Click the link for more information on the poll’s methodology.)
Is the poll an outlier? That’s entirely possible, and given the fact that Democrats haven’t flooded Iowa with ads and appearances in recent weeks, it’s a safe bet that the Harris campaign’s internal polling isn’t nearly as favorable as the Register/Mediacom results.
