Maybe we need to test the escape proofness of that prison? Toss BoJo and donnie in it and throw away the key.Prisoner Farage finally wants to escape the EU prison:
BoJo praises the "vastly more democratic parliament", due to more females and minorities being part of it; wants to leave the EU by 31st of January 2020:
My problem with this kind of analysis is that I suspect we need some kind of longitudinal study to make sense of the figures.This diagram by Yougov on the GE results in December clearly shows the massive gap between the generations. The older people do get, the more likely they voted for the Tories, the younger people are the more likely they voted Labour. Since the younger generations are the minority this is what made Johnson's victory possible.
This trend without doubt is a big problem for the Tories, if it should continue, because it means that when their old voting base dies not many new voters will come to replace them.
Surprisingly the LibDems are more or less the same percentage in all age brackets, and starting with the >= 40 years age bracket Labour lost its majority appeal and handed it over to the Tories.
And here's the demography of the UK in 2017:
YouGov also posted a longer PDF about it, which contains school degrees, personal income and such. Anyway the big picture is quite obvious: the support base for the Tories is dieing away at the moment. So unless Tory starts to reinvent themselves they are going to face some problems later in this century, becoming marginal.My problem with this kind of analysis is that I suspect we need some kind of longitudinal study to make sense of the figures.
According to the YouGov summary,YouGov also posted a longer PDF about it, which contains school degrees, personal income and such. Anyway the big picture is quite obvious: the support base for the Tories is dieing away at the moment. So unless Tory starts to reinvent themselves they are going to face some problems later in this century, becoming marginal.
The UK's population is aging; according to the Office of National Statistics,In the EU referendum and again in 2017 age was a new dividing line in British politics. The data indicates that little has changed on this front over the past two years, with Labour still winning a majority of younger voters and the Conservatives miles ahead among older Britons.
In fact, for every 10 years older a voter is, their chance of voting Tory increases by around nine points, and the chance of them voting Labour decreases by eight points.
The tipping point - the age at which a voter is more likely to have voted Conservative than Labour - is now 39, down from 47 at the last election.
Like many other countries, the UK’s age structure is shifting towards later ages. By 2050, it is projected that one in four people in the UK will be aged 65 years and over – an increase from approximately one in five in 2018. This is the result of the combination of declining fertility rates and people living longer. While for some living longer may be a cause for celebration, the ageing population has implications on several policy areas.
The UK’s age structure is determined by trends in fertility and mortality. Generally, both fertility and mortality rates have been declining in the UK. Thus, with less to counterbalance the living longer dynamic, the overall age structure of the UK has tipped further towards the later-life age groups.
According to projections, the population share of later-life age groups is set to increase further in future years too. By 2041, the 1960s baby boomers will have progressed into their 70s and 80s, and by 2068 there could be an additional 8.2 million people aged 65 years and over in the UK – a population roughly the size of present-day London. This would take the UK’s 65 years and over age group to 20.4 million people, accounting for 26.4% of the projected population.
In 1998, around one in six people were 65 years and over (15.9%), this increased to one in every five people in 2018 (18.3%) and is projected to reach around one in every four people (24.2%) by 2038.
Comparatively, an estimated 20.5% of the population were under 16 years old in 1998, decreasing to 19.0% in 2018 and is projected to decline to 17.4% by 2038. In 1998, 63.6% of the population were aged 16 to 64 years old, down to 62.7% in 2018 and projected to decline to 58.4% in 2038.
Generally, though, low interest rates are thought to help the stock market, since they make investing your money in government bonds and interest-bearing accounts a less attractive proposition than investing it in shares.It is more than frustrating that the ultimately capitalist values that Tory governments represent and encourage are more relevant to you as you age. The types of funds keeping you are largely based on stock market and government bonds which tend to be massively assisted by those conservative policies.
It's more than ironic that those same policies tend to penalise younger voters who are more effected when these policies are manipulated to increase base rates and inflation markers which are the bases for student loan interest rates and repayment terms etc.
Quite possibly so, but the details I've been able to find of voting behaviour in the UK broken down by age suggest that British voters' behaviour is rather different from that of German ones.Still the question remains, if
a) the now young people tend to vote more likely for the Tories as they get older or
b) they will not.
In my opinion the Tories are a cohort phenomenon at the moment, because the voting behaviour from the younger voters is totally different compared to the older generations and so far there is not much on the plate at the moment which might change that opinion of most young voters.
What's the reason for my opinion? We've got the same phenomenon in Germany with the conservative C parties, which shows the same generational divide. And so far since years as young people get older they stick to the Green party/left wing spectrum mostly, but never conservative.
Oi!The trade deal talks are going to start next week.